Postby Nate » Thu Feb 03, 2011 9:31 pm
Fair enough. At any rate, I don't see this system going anywhere. Phones are becoming a bigger market, and while there aren't a lot of full-length games on phones, the market is getting bigger.
I mean Secret of Mana got released on iPhone. A massively popular SNES game that is literally unavailable anywhere else outside of illegal means. That's not insignificant. More developers are turning to phones for games, and why not? Cell phones are already immensely popular in Japan, and while the US doesn't have quite Japan's level of cell phone use, we're getting there. Eventually, phones will render the handheld market unsustainable I think.
Nintendo will last a while, because Pokemon. I mean that's a big property and that alone is going to sell units, and as long as it's profitable, Nintendo is going to at least hold on to the handheld market somewhat. But Sony? They can throw all the technology they want into this handheld but ultimately what's the draw? The DS had a couple of "must have" games that really moved the system...Pokemon being the biggest, Dragon Quest 9 (in Japan the game sold hugely), New Super Mario Bros., Mario Kart DS, and while they don't appeal to most real gamers, Nintendogs and Brain Age did a lot for the system.
Sony had...Monster Hunter. And a Final Fantasy 7 game. And that was about it. There was no game like Pokemon or New Super Mario Bros. that really made people flock to the PSP. There was no real "must have" game. The closest there was was the Metal Gear Solid game, the one that came out a while ago. For Metal Gear fans that was a definite must-have I'm sure, but...there wasn't really anything to draw sales.
Let's put it this way. The best selling DS game of all time? New Super Mario Bros. Sold like 26 million copies. The best selling PSP game? Monster Hunter Portable 3rd, which sold a little over 4 million copies. I mean...see a little bit of disparity between those numbers? While 4 million isn't a failure by any stretch of the imagination (to use a phrase Penny Arcade used, if I sold 4 million of a thing I'd consider that a success), it's nowhere even near the DS.
So just looking at DS vs. PSP, I don't think Sony will survive this handheld generation. They'll make sales, absolutely. It's not like nobody is going to buy it. But I will bet that the amount of units they sell will not generate enough of a profit for them to continue their handheld department, especially when you take into account the massive failure of the PSP Go, and the fact that this system can't possibly cost less than the 3DS...and with people already complaining about the 3DS being 250 dollars, it doesn't look good for them. Especially when you consider that people can buy pretty nice phones for about how much their Handheld Thing will cost.
Ezekiel 23:20