Volt wrote:Nope, It's based on my blind and stubborn idea that I know what I'm talking about when I might not, the same mental principle behind everyone's opinion. At least I'm honest
Funny, and here I thought an education actually
meant something. But then since any idea is as good as any other, I've obviously been wasting a whole lot of time on that whole Ph.D thing.
Books are written for profit, articles are written for credit, pamplets are written for popularity, and if something isn't 100% accurate, would you really reveal this? nope, the Publishers wouldn't want that. Confidence = money.
Many books are written for profit, which isn't always a bad thing since it helps to pay the bills. However they're also written to teach others, to communicate ideas or for the sheer pleasure of doing so. Fortunately, when it comes to scientific books or publications, we're able to get some idea of how good they are. Reviews in the pertinent journals, or via word of mouth amongst professionals in the field are an excellent way of getting information. In addition, most university level textbooks are reviewed by other experts in the field who often provide helpful suggesstions to the author. For example, my copy of "Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation" has an extensive list of reviewers, many of them are highly regarded experts in the field, some of whom I've actually met.
More than that though, scientists
aren't shy about criticizing other people's work, or investigating it if they feel it's fraudulent. Likewise, there are any number of books/articles that describe this or that shortcoming in another persons's work on the limitations of one theory or another. For that matter, good scientists will also discuss the shortcomings of their own work and accept the limitations of their own theories (ie. potential problem areas etc). Science only progresses when there is healthy and rigorous skepticism.
Real life Example: Milk studdies, pink packets of sugar causing cancer, both of those have been switching back and forth between healthy and unhealthy study after study. and only God knows how many of those Vitamin Studies are accurate. There's a few every year, stating.
Your point about health studies is well taken. However, these are generally based on statistical analyses where the interactions of the different variables can be quite complex. Sometimes the authors don't fully understand the mathematical methods involved, or have mistakenly discounted this or that influence (or even been unaware of it). The same goes of course for the popular press. There is of course, always the issue of correlation not necessarily being the same as causation. I will let those more familiar with these kinds of analyses comment further on the quality of such studies.
Not to mension even Big Time Scientists do it for attention
The Big Bang theory which started out like this
Do they know? Nope
Do they have evidence? Nope
This last statement is as patently false as it is off-topic. Look into why the big bang model was and still is accepted if you wish. I'm sure you can find many good books on the subject in your local library.
Why do they keep talking? $$$
Given the time and expense of getting the requisite scientific training: 4-5yrs for a bachelor's degree, 2 years for a master's, and 3-4 years for a Ph.D not to mention one's post-doc. In addition with the compartively lower scale of pay in comparison to what one can make industry, I'm forced to conclude that money is not a prime motivator. I say this also given the personal experience I've had in the sciences and in knowing scientists-
experience you do not have, so I'm fully aware that most scientists are motivated by the love of knowledge and exploration even if there is some healthy competition between them.